Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Say what?

"The month-to-month variability of tropical temperatures is larger in the troposphere than at the Earth's surface. This amplification behavior is similar in a range of observations and climate model simulations, and is consistent with basic theory. On multi-decadal timescales, tropospheric amplification of surface warming is a robust feature of model simulations, but occurs in only one observational dataset. Other observations show weak or even negative amplification. These results suggest that either different physical mechanisms control amplification processes on monthly and decadal timescales, and models fail to capture such behavior, or (more plausibly) that residual errors in several observational datasets used here affect their representation of long-term trends." -Santer et al, Amplification of Surface Temperature Trends and Variability in the Tropical Atmosphere, Science, 2005

So the world is wrong, our models are right. Aren't models supposed to help us understand what we observe? What kind of logic truns that through 180 degrees?