Friday, February 2, 2007

It's very likely, said the groundhog

Global warming is very likely the greatest threat to groundhogs across Canada. Today is groundhog day, but it's really quite possible there won't be any more springs to predict because soon it may be summer all year round.
How groundhogs got a reputation for predicting weather patterns is a mystery, because they are not the least bit interested in their shadows or the number of winter weeks remaining. The only reason they come out of hibernation is for food and sex.

[..] Groundhogs are woodchucks, members of the squirrel family, marmots, sometimes called "whistle-pigs." They are not the sharpest knives in the drawer. When nervous, they emit a high-pitched squeal, which might as well be an embossed dinner invitation to predators who follow the squeal until they find and eat the groundhog.

So how did they gain a reputation for predicting weather? Fact is, they aren't very good at it.
It's also quite possible, and I am even willing to say, very likely, although not completely certain, that the climate change experts who contributed to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are closely related to the marmot species, though it's almost certain, but not quite, they are slightly higher on the evolutionary scale, enjoying as they do a predatory class status currently denied to their oppressed relatives like prickly Glen. It is also virtually certain that the scientists in question aren't much better at predicting the weather than Wiarton Willie.
A long-awaited report says global warming is "very likely" man-made, the most powerful language ever used on the issue by the world's leading climate scientists, delegates who have seen the report said Thursday.

[..] The scientists wrote the report, based on years of peer-reviewed research; government officials edited it with an eye toward the required unanimous approval by world governments.

In the end, there was little debate on the strength of the wording about human activity most likely to blame.

"That is a big move. I hope it is a powerful statement," said Jan Pretel, head of the department of climate change at the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute.

[..] It took delegates just 90 minutes to agree on the signature statement which describes how sure scientists are about global warming being caused by man. The answer — "very likely" — translates to a more than 90 percent certainty.

What that means in layman's language is "we have this nailed," said top U.S. climate scientist Jerry Mahlman, who originated the percentage system.

"They're hearing through the science that this is appropriate," Mahlman, a reviewer of panel's work but not an author or editor, said. "I'm pretty happy with the 'very likely' designation."
As the Mayor says, "Turn up the global warming, it's freezing in here."

Also spreading the propaganda at Dust My Broom.


Thucydides said...

It is sad that these people can get away with calling themselves "scientists". Science requires examining ALL the evidence and testing hypothesis against these observations. If you can explain your observations then you can upgrade the hypothesis to "Theory".

Since the "Global Warming" or "Climate Change" fanatics refuse to acknowledge observational evidence such as the Medieval Warm Period (warmer temperatures and milder climate than today's) or the current warming trend on Mars and other planets in the solar system then this is not science. This isn't even close to science, but rather resembles the cherry picking that political parties and ideologues of all stripes use to support their "position".

This is similar to the current idea of boosting the minimum wage to $10/hr without examining the consequences throughout the economy. If the minimum wage is boosted to $10/hr; it will really suck to be poor because you will now be unemployed. The consequences of this alarmism are pretty horrible as well; economic policy and our well beings will be sacrificed on the alter of the "environment" even though the most probable cause of climate change (based on observational evidence; you know, science) is solar activity, something far beyond our current powers to control.

Jake said...

Oh my! Global warming is alive and well in London. I'll go pick the coconuts and mangoes off the trees tomorrow in the -28 windchill!!!

jomama said...

Yea, it's cold where I live too. Somebody
turn the heat up.

Some ammunition against those who think
their dream of human caused global
warming is real can be found here.